Right now, that lead is greater than at any time since the late 1950s. We're roughly 55% richer than either Japan or the European Union average, and since the 4 big EU countries' per capita income is either at that average (Germany) or slightly above it --- Britain, Italy, and France --- that huge lead applies to them as well.
A Problem for Economics
Mainstream growth theory in economics can't explain this persistent US lead, far from it. Essentially, despite some qualifications, it postulates a variety of convergence catch-up variants, all of which predict that rich follower countries able to sustain long-term GDP growth should, at some point in the future, catch up to the leader's levels of productivity and per capita income. That future point is called the steady-state, a hypothetical end condition. In it, all advanced industrial countries with good human capital and institutions should be equally rich, and they should all be on or very near the technological frontier. The large gap with the US --- now 10-12 decades old --- defies all these variants.
Not so our buggy analysis.
In particular, the much more ambitious series on the US economy that the current mini-series is part of --- the wider series stretching back over the months to July 2004 --- seeks to make sense of that huge American lead, past and present. That long-lived lead --- greater now than at any time for the last half century or so --- isn't an accident, even if mainstream economic growth theories can't account for it. On the buggy view, it's the persistent outcome of a specific complex of national culture and institutions --- political, legal, administrative, financial, business, and educational (especially on the university level) --- that don't have full counterparts elsewhere, despite some overlapping similarities in many of the institutions with other English-speaking countries.
From Culture and Behavior to Ideology
The key cultural traits in American life that operate here are easy enough to pin down, even if harder to explain. They reflect uncommonly flexible attitudes and behavior toward change, risk-taking, and entrepreneurship that have no full equivalents abroad . . . even in the English-speaking world. An unusual work-ethos with roots in Puritan traditions that stretch back to colonial times is another uncommon American trait, and since hard work has generally paid off for almost everyone (except slaves in the Antebellum South), the trait has been reinforced over time and internalized in American mind-sets long after Puritanism itself disappeared as a specific Protestant religion. One result? For the first time in history, a large society has emerged in which the rich and the affluent now work longer and harder than poor people.
Something else. To this list of unique cultural and behavioral traits, add the persistent impact --- past and present --- of a politically charged set of values and beliefs regarding the proper roles of the state and private sectors of American life, both on the right and left of the US ideological spectrum.
PART ONE:
THE SIGNIFICANCE OF AMERICAN IDEOLOGY IN HELPING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE COUNTRY'S INNOVATIVE PROWESS
How Other Industrial Countries Differ
In contrast to the US, powerfully institutionalized regulations and controls over the economy flourish everywhere on the Continent of Europe and in Japan, with a large regulatory-and-welfare state in place. The following table, which traces government spending as a percentage of GDP since 1870 in major industrial countries down to the mid-late 1990s, captures the huge differences with the USA that follow from these statist traditions. The table, as you'll note, doesn't cover Japan. No matter. A second table --- set out immediately afterwards --- will bring out the sharp increase in Japanese governmental spending since 1960, a surprise to many people.
| 1870 | 1920 | 1937 | 1960 | 1980 | 1990 | 1996 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | n.a. | n.a. | 25.0 | 28.6 | 38.8 | 46.0 | 44.7 |
| France | 12.6 | 16.7 | 29.0 | 34.6 | 46.1 | 49.8 | 55.0 |
| Germany | 10.0 | 27.6 | 34.1 | 32.4 | 47.9 | 45.1 | 49.1 |
| Italy | 13.7 | 25.0 | 31.1 | 30.1 | 42.1 | 53.4 | 52.7 |
| Sweden | 5.7 | 10.9 | 16.5 | 31.0 | 60.1 | 59.1 | 64.2 |
| UK | 9.4 | 26.2 | 30.0 | 32.2 | 43.0 | 39.9 | 43.0 |
| USA | 7.3 | 12.1 | 19.7 | 27.0 | 31.4 | 32.8 | 32.4 |
| Average | 10.8 | 19.6 | 23.8 | 28.0 | 41.9 | 43.0 | 45.0 |
Source: Vito Tanzi and Ludger Schuknect Public Spending in the 20th Cen-
tury: A Global Perspective (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2000), chapter I
In Britain, Australia, and New Zealand, an advanced statist apparatus with high levels of taxes and welfare emerged after WWII too, exactly as it did in the EU and in Japan. All that changed in the 1980s for these three English-speaking countries, whose statist traditions were never as extensive, historically, as on the Continent or in Japan.
The causes of the change? Sluggish economic growth and lagging competitiveness brought about major free-market reforms in those countries; these, in turn, moved their economies closer to the American system, much to their benefit. Since the reforms, Britain--- once a near laughing-stock in the EU at the end of the 1970s --- has outperformed almost all the EU countries save Ireland, another relatively free-market country by European standards; it has not only closed the per capita income gap with Germany and France, but today has a clear lead over them. Australia and New Zealand too have regained much of their earlier lost ground in an era of anti-welfarism and deregulation. And Ireland's pro-business policies, implemented in the 1980s too, transformed that country from one of the two or three poorest in the EU into the very richest.
Only Canada --- ruled for almost all of the 4 decades since the start of the 1960s by the Quebec-based Liberal Party --- has let the state sector and welfare transfers grow in a semi-EU way, making their economy something of a half-way house between the EU welfare state and the Anglo-American model. And even Canada has begun in the last few years to retrench, cutting back government spending to regain more dynamism.
Even so, the ideological legacies on both the left and right in Britain, Australia, and New Zealand --- not to forget Canada --- still differ from those in the US. Statist tendencies are particularly strong on the left, but they also exist in some sectors of the conservative and liberal parties in those countries.
Here's another way to gauge the large differences in the size of the governmental sector across industrial countries, particularly since 1960 . . . a period in which full employment and prosperity had been achieved everywhere in the industrial world, but in which the welfare state continued to expand with high-pulsating speed in almost all the EU and Japan, along with Canada and New Zealand. Note how government spending climbed almost 4 times as fast on the average between 1960 and 1996 than it did in the USA.
Note: Make sure you interpret the average increase of spending as a % of GDP in those three and one-half decades properly.
Look at Sweden in 1960. Government spending absorbed 31.0% of total GDP that year. In 1996, such spending had more than doubled as a % of GDP, not just gone up by 35.1% over the initial figure. It's an astounding surge, all occurring after the initial rationale of high taxes and welfare redistribution was achieved: ending poverty and ensuring that the sick, the old, and those who can't work for mental or physical reasons were taken care of.
What has gone on there --- as in other advanced welfare states --- is that organized groups vie with one another to get governmental benefits, including wage increases given governmental controls over labor markets. In Sweden, virtually everyone is organized in a trade union or business association, and the huge state sector is no exception to union membership. For their part, politicians --- eager to get re-elected --- then repeatedly make concessions to various groups. If certain groups --- think of French unions that are ubiquitous in the transport systems, telecommunications systems, the postal system, and the media --- don't get their way, they can play havoc with the economy by going on strike. In Sweden, strikes are fairly rare by French or Italian standards, but the prospect of losing the next election can force governments there or anywhere from pursuing necessary reforms to restore economic vigor.
| TOTAL GOVERNMENT SPENDING 1960-1996 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Increase | ||||||
| Country | 1960 | 1970 | 1980 | 1990 | 1996 | 1960-1996 |
| Australia | 21.2 | 25.5 | 34.0 | 37.7 | 37.5 | 16.3 |
| Belgium | 34.5 | 36.5 | 50.7 | 54.6 | 54.5 | 20.0 |
| Canada | 28.6 | 35.7 | 40.5 | 47.8 | 46.4 | 17.8 |
| Denmark | 24.8 | 40.2 | 56.2 | 58.6 | 60.8 | 36.0 |
| Finland | 26.6 | 31.3 | 36.6 | 46.8 | 59.4 | 32.8 |
| France | 34.6 | 38.9 | 46.1 | 49.9 | 54.7 | 20.1 |
| Germany | 32.4 | 38.6 | 48.3 | 45.7 | 56.0 | 23.6 |
| Ireland | 28.0 | 39.6 | 50.8 | 40.9 | 37.7 | 9.7 |
| Italy | 30.1 | 34.2 | 41.9 | 53.8 | 52.7 | 22.6 |
| Japan | 17.5 | 19.3 | 32.6 | 31.9 | 36.9 | 19.4 |
| Netherlands | 33.7 | 46.0 | 57.5 | 57.5 | 58.1 | 24.4 |
| New Zealand | 27.7 | 34.4 | 47.0 | 50.0 | 42.3 | 14.6 |
| Spain | 13.7 | 22.2 | 32.9 | 43.0 | 45.4 | 31.7 |
| Sweden | 31.0 | 43.7 | 61.6 | 60.8 | 66.1 | 35.1 |
| Switzerland | 17.2 | 21.3 | 29.3 | 30.9 | 36.9 | 19.7 |
| United Kingdom | 32.2 | 39.2 | 44.9 | 42.3 | 43.7 | 11.5 |
| United States | 28.4 | 32.5 | 33.7 | 34.8 | 34.6 | 6.2 |
| Average | 27.0 | 33.3 | 42.8 | 46.3 | 48.0 | 21.0 |
| a | ||||||
Source: James Gwartney and Robert Lawson, Economic Freedom in the
World 2001: Annual Report
To Clarify American Exceptionalism
On the political right, American conservatism has never been statist in the sense found in conservative parties in both Japan and all over the Continent of West Europe even now. Not only that, it has also has lacked the patrician and paternalistic influences that have marked the Tory wing of the British Conservative Party, routed --- possibly for good --- by Margaret Thatcher's anti-statist reforms of the 1980s.
On the left --- which our chief concern in this and the last three articles of this mini-series --- the Democratic Party has no socialist or Marxist legacies in its history and so differs from all other left-wing democratic parties on this score, whether in Europe, Latin America, or Asia. The British Labour Party, note quickly, is no exception here. Even though it was never heavily influenced by Marxism, it was formally committed to the full nationalization of British industry between 1918 and the late 1950s --- a sweeping, full-blooded socialist program . Only under the deft leadership of Tony Blair, who has won three general elections, has the party swung around to accepting the free-market reforms of the Thatcher era . . . and even then only after protracted internecine conflicts.
Our Chief Aim Can Be Rephrased As A Question . .
Specifically, what explains the unique lack of socialist and Marxist influences in American politics, past or present? Supplying an answer is what the current article is about, a direct continuation in this endeavor of the three earlier installments in this mini-series . . . which pinned down some influences so far, all economic in nature.
A key point rears up here. Try to keep it in mind.
Plainly put, the various influences in American history that immunized our politics from socialism have been multiple and range across politics and socio-cultural developments as well as economic ones . . . each and every one with roots that extend back over the centuries to colonial and early post-revolutionary times. So far, the three immediate articles have probed economic influences only. For that matter, another such influence --- income inequality, always comparatively viewed --- is the chief topic of today's article.
Note quickly though. None of this means that we're slighting political institutions and policies, or socio-cultural trends over the centuries, in shaping our ideological spectrum, whether on the left or right. It does mean that it takes time to set out a complex, multi-faceted argument, and it will take at least one more article --- dealing with the raw entrepreneurial energy and risk-taking in American life, a major source of both jobs and innovative technologies --- before we can move on and focus on politics and eventually social and cultural influences.
PART TWO:
THE EARLIER ARGUMENT SUMMARIZED
Three Related Economic Developments Have Been Dealt With So Far
Each of these has been probed at length, and what follows is a capsule summary, with some pivotal implications teased out in graphic form.
1. An uncommonly high standard of living marked American development from the outset, with US per capita income the highest in the world for well over a century now --- something, as we've repeatedly noted, that mainstream economic growth theory can't easily explain, just the contrary. These days, hard as it might be to believe, that lead over others is greater than at any time since the 1950s: nearly $40,000 compared to the EU average of around $26,000 and Japan's per capita income of $28,000.




